Michel Barnier, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, has warned that France might be approaching its own “Frexit” moment. He believes President Emmanuel Macron’s actions have brought the country to this point.
Migration and Security Concerns
In a recent interview, Barnier expressed regret that his warnings on migration, security, and state authority have not been heeded in France. He emphasized the importance of addressing the needs of the poorest regions to avoid a situation similar to Brexit in the UK.
Macron’s Risky Political Gamble
Macron’s decision to dissolve parliament and call for snap elections following a significant defeat by the hard-Right in the European parliamentary vote is seen as a major gamble. If his liberal coalition faces another loss, he may have to appoint a prime minister from another party, limiting his power over domestic affairs.
Barnier’s Perspective
Barnier, a pro-European conservative, criticized Macron’s risky political move. He stressed the need for careful consideration of the potential outcomes, particularly the risk of a hard-Right majority led by Marine Le Pen.
Poll Predictions and Potential Outcomes
Recent polls indicate that Le Pen’s National Rally is leading, with her protege, Jordan Bardella, potentially becoming prime minister if they win. Bardella has already proposed cutting France’s EU budget payments if their party succeeds.
Euroscepticism in France
Barnier cautioned against underestimating Le Pen’s Eurosceptic intentions, despite her recent efforts to soften her anti-EU stance. He reminded that her initial reaction to Brexit was celebratory, indicating her underlying anti-European sentiments.
Conclusion
Although current projections do not give National Rally an overall majority, the situation remains tense. Macron’s advisers are hopeful that his party can outperform the hard-Right candidates in the second-round run-offs.
